Market
How will NATO react to Trump's diplomatic efforts with Russia and Ukraine by September 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
Official NATO statements or credible news sources
Story
Trump May Pursue Back-Channel Diplomacy to End Ukraine War, Financial Times Reports, Risking Security Guarantees
Dec 28, 2024, 06:14 PM
The Financial Times reports that Donald Trump, as the incoming U.S. president, may pursue back-channel diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine. Analysts suggest that Trump's business-oriented approach and desire to avoid military conflicts could lead to the U.S. facilitating significant agreements with Russia. However, this strategy raises concerns about Ukraine potentially being pressured into peace negotiations without adequate security guarantees. Experts warn that such a move could compromise Ukraine's sovereignty and security, particularly in light of ongoing aggressive actions from Russia.
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Similar markets
Divided • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
No official response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No response • 25%
Increase in their own aid • 25%
Decrease contributions • 25%
Publicly criticize Trump's stance • 25%
Increase contributions • 25%
No change • 25%
Critical • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
NATO agrees to demands • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Increased NATO presence • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
