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How will Iran respond to U.S. pressure by end of 2025?
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Iran•Middle East•Donald Trump•White House•Iranian•The Telegraph•Tehran•United States•American•Iraq•Yemen•Trump•Houthis•Fuad Hussein•Islamic Republic
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Escalation of military activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Withdrawal from nuclear commitments • 25%
Statements from the Iranian government or verified news reports
Story
Iran Orders Proxies to Avoid Provocations, Maintain Defensive Positions Amid Trump’s Return
Jan 26, 2025, 12:30 PM
Iran has instructed its proxy forces and regional allies across the Middle East to act with caution, fearing an existential threat following Donald Trump’s return to the White House. According to a senior Iranian official cited by The Telegraph, Tehran has directed these groups to avoid any provocative actions that could escalate tensions with the United States or its allies. Specific instructions include refraining from targeting American assets, particularly in Iraq and Yemen, avoiding the use of Iranian weapons, and maintaining defensive positions. This comes as the Trump administration re-designated Yemen's Houthis as a "foreign terrorist organization," and Iraq's Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein seeks to integrate Iran-backed armed factions into official security forces. The directive reflects Iran's concerns about potential U.S. policies under the Trump administration, which may include increased pressure on the Islamic Republic.
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Maintained status quo • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Withdrawal from previous agreements • 25%
Increased military posturing • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Increase in nuclear development • 25%
Accelerated Nuclear Development • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Retaliation • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Rejection • 25%
Acceptance • 25%
Request for more time • 25%
No response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
General support • 25%
Increase military drills • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Seek diplomatic talks • 25%
Retaliate militarily • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Escalate nuclear activities • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Crackdown on protests • 25%
Reforms announced • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Retaliatory military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased nuclear activity • 25%
Full compliance with international demands • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in enrichment activities • 25%
Increase in enrichment activities • 25%
Requests modifications • 25%
Accepts and begins negotiations • 25%
Declines proposal • 25%
No response by deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%