Market
First Mexican drug cartel classified as a foreign terrorist organization by the US in 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Gulf Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%
US government announcements or executive orders
Story
Trump to Classify Drug Cartels as Foreign Terrorist Organizations, Says Mike Waltz on January 19, 2025
Jan 19, 2025, 08:24 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to classify drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations through an early executive order. This decision, announced by incoming national security adviser Mike Waltz, aims to address the growing influence of drug cartels in Mexico and their violent activities, including the use of heavy weapons against aircraft. The classification underscores the administration's commitment to tackling the challenges posed by these criminal organizations.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
A Mexican Cartel • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Other • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
Both MS-13 and Tren de Aragua • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Neither • 25%
Tren de Aragua • 25%
Other • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Not in 2025 • 25%
By June 30, 2025 • 25%
By December 31, 2025 • 25%
By March 31, 2025 • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Continued classification with additional sanctions • 25%
Reversal of classification • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No, none • 25%
Yes, one cartel • 25%
Yes, multiple cartels • 25%
Other • 25%