Market
China's response to U.S. missile defense test off Guam by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military demonstration • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from Chinese government officials or credible news reports
Story
U.S. Successfully Intercepts Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile Target Off Guam for First Time, Pentagon Reports
Dec 11, 2024, 08:39 AM
The U.S. Missile Defense Agency announced a successful intercept of an air-launched intermediate-range ballistic missile target during a test conducted off Guam, marking the first successful test of this capability from the strategic military outpost. This test is considered a significant milestone in enhancing the defensive capabilities of U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific region, particularly in light of increasing tensions with China. The Pentagon emphasized the importance of this achievement, although some experts have raised concerns about the interceptor's effectiveness against potential saturation attacks. The test underscores ongoing efforts to bolster missile defense systems in response to regional threats.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No response • 25%
Verbal protest • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
No significant diplomatic response • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
Recall ambassador from U.S. • 25%
Other • 25%
New intercept test • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
Expansion of existing systems • 25%
ASEAN mediation efforts • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other retaliatory measures • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Military exercises • 25%