Market
Deployment of additional U.S. missile defense systems in Guam by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Successfully Intercepts Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile Target Off Guam for First Time, Pentagon Reports
Dec 11, 2024, 08:39 AM
The U.S. Missile Defense Agency announced a successful intercept of an air-launched intermediate-range ballistic missile target during a test conducted off Guam, marking the first successful test of this capability from the strategic military outpost. This test is considered a significant milestone in enhancing the defensive capabilities of U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific region, particularly in light of increasing tensions with China. The Pentagon emphasized the importance of this achievement, although some experts have raised concerns about the interceptor's effectiveness against potential saturation attacks. The test underscores ongoing efforts to bolster missile defense systems in response to regional threats.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Expansion of existing systems • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
New intercept test • 25%
Decrease in defense budget • 25%
Increase in defense budget • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Introduction of new technology • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Verbal protest • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No response • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Japan • 25%
South Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
