Market
What will be the next major development in US missile defense strategy in Guam by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New intercept test • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
Expansion of existing systems • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense or major news outlets
Story
US Conducts First Ballistic Missile Intercept Test from Guam as Part of Multibillion-Dollar Plan for 360-Degree Protection
Dec 12, 2024, 03:14 AM
The United States has successfully conducted its first-ever ballistic missile intercept test from Guam, marking a significant advancement in its missile defense capabilities. This test, carried out by the Missile Defense Agency, is part of a multibillion-dollar initiative aimed at transforming Guam into one of the most heavily defended locations globally, particularly in light of threats from adversaries such as China and North Korea. The new missile defense system is designed to provide comprehensive 360-degree protection against incoming missiles and aircraft, enhancing the strategic defense of this key Pacific territory.
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Deployment of additional Aegis systems • 25%
Other advancements • 25%
Enhanced radar capabilities • 25%
Introduction of new missile types • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
New missile defense system • 25%
New naval base construction • 25%
Major military exercise • 25%
Joint defense exercise with allies • 25%
Other • 25%
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Successful intercept of new type of missile • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aegis Ashore • 25%
THAAD • 25%
Patriot • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Advanced radar systems • 25%
Cyber defense capabilities • 25%
AI-based targeting systems • 25%
Enhanced missile interceptors • 25%