Market
China public response to U.S. missile defense test near Guam by March 31, 2025?
2
Guam•China•Aegis Guam System•Vertical Launching System•VLS•Flight Experiment Mission•Andersen Air Force Base
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Chinese government or state media
Story
U.S. Successfully Intercepts Medium-Range Missile in First-Ever Guam Defense Test
Dec 10, 2024, 03:58 PM
The U.S. Department of Defense has conducted a successful missile defense test off the coast of Guam, marking a significant advancement in the island's defense capabilities against potential threats, particularly from China. The test involved the first-ever interception of a medium-range ballistic missile using the Aegis Guam System, which utilized an AN/TPY-6 radar and a Vertical Launching System (VLS) to fire a Standard Missile-3 Block IIA (SM-3 Block IIA) interceptor. This test, known as Flight Experiment Mission (FEM)-02, was executed near Andersen Air Force Base and demonstrated the system's ability to provide 360-degree protection for the island.
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Yes • 50%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Russia • 25%
North Korea • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
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Economic sanctions • 25%
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Increased military presence • 25%