Market
China's primary response to TIP threat by June 30, 2025?
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Turkistan Islamic Party•TIP•Uyghur•China•East Turkistan•Chinese•Syrian•Beijing•Syrian conflict•Xinjiang•Caucasus•Alawite•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military action in Xinjiang • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with neighboring countries • 25%
Cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government or credible international news reports
Story
Uyghur Turkistan Islamic Party Vows to Target China After December 8 Video, Following Bashar-al Assad's Regime Collapse
Dec 14, 2024, 04:13 PM
The Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP), an Uyghur militant group, has declared its intention to target China, emphasizing its mission to liberate East Turkistan from Chinese control. This declaration follows the collapse of the Syrian regime, which TIP played a role in toppling. In a video released on December 8, TIP fighters threatened Beijing, showcasing their commitment to their cause. The group has been involved in the Syrian conflict and has connections to jihadists from Xinjiang and the Caucasus, who have been reported attacking Alawite villages in Syria. Analysts suggest that China is closely monitoring the situation in Syria due to the potential implications for its security and territorial integrity.
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Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Seek international coalition against TIP • 25%
Increase diplomatic pressure on neighboring countries • 25%
No significant diplomatic change • 25%
Strengthen internal security measures • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Impose new tariffs on U.S. goods • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other economic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Increased arms sales to Taiwan • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Formal complaint to WTO • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Negotiations with U.S. • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
Condemnation of TIP • 25%
TIP launches attacks in China • 25%
TIP strengthens presence in Xinjiang • 25%
TIP shifts focus away from China • 25%
No significant TIP activity in China • 25%
Currency devaluation • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Negotiation and diplomacy • 25%
Export subsidies • 25%
Military Provisions • 25%
Other • 25%
Human Rights Issues • 25%
Economic Measures • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Increased Cybersecurity Measures • 25%
Cyber Retaliation • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military exercises near Taiwan • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%