Market
Primary US response to China's sanctions by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased arms sales to Taiwan • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements or policy changes from the U.S. government
Story
China Sanctions 13 U.S. Military Firms Over $385M Arms Sale to Taiwan
Dec 5, 2024, 07:04 AM
China has announced sanctions on 13 U.S. military firms and their executives, effective from December 5, in response to a $385 million U.S. arms sale to Taiwan. The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that these countermeasures target companies and individuals linked to the U.S. military, following the U.S. decision to supply arms to Taiwan, which China considers part of its territory.
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
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No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased Domestic Investment • 25%
Retaliatory Trade Measures • 25%
Legal Action • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
