Market
Country supporting TIP against China by June 30, 2025?
2
Turkistan Islamic Party•TIP•Uyghur•China•East Turkistan•Chinese•Syrian•Beijing•Syrian conflict•Xinjiang•Caucasus•Alawite•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey • 25%
Pakistan • 25%
Afghanistan • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or credible news reports from the supporting country
Story
Uyghur Turkistan Islamic Party Vows to Target China After December 8 Video, Following Bashar-al Assad's Regime Collapse
Dec 14, 2024, 04:13 PM
The Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP), an Uyghur militant group, has declared its intention to target China, emphasizing its mission to liberate East Turkistan from Chinese control. This declaration follows the collapse of the Syrian regime, which TIP played a role in toppling. In a video released on December 8, TIP fighters threatened Beijing, showcasing their commitment to their cause. The group has been involved in the Syrian conflict and has connections to jihadists from Xinjiang and the Caucasus, who have been reported attacking Alawite villages in Syria. Analysts suggest that China is closely monitoring the situation in Syria due to the potential implications for its security and territorial integrity.
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No significant TIP activity in China • 25%
TIP launches attacks in China • 25%
TIP strengthens presence in Xinjiang • 25%
TIP shifts focus away from China • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
India • 25%
Brazil • 25%
Russia • 25%
Brazil • 25%
None of the above • 25%
India • 25%
Condemnation of TIP actions • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Calls for dialogue and negotiation • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
Strengthen internal security measures • 25%
Seek international coalition against TIP • 25%
No significant diplomatic change • 25%
Increase diplomatic pressure on neighboring countries • 25%
North Korea • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
Condemnation of TIP • 25%
Support for China's security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%