Market
CEO of MPS-Mediobanca Combined Entity if Merger Succeeds?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Current MPS CEO • 25%
Current Mediobanca CEO • 25%
External Candidate • 25%
Joint Leadership • 25%
Official announcements from MPS and Mediobanca, press releases
Story
MPS Launches €13.3 Billion All-Share Bid for Mediobanca to Form Third Largest Italian Banking Group
Jan 24, 2025, 07:55 AM
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA (MPS) has launched a €13.3 billion ($13.9 billion) all-share takeover bid for Mediobanca SpA, aiming to create a new national banking champion in Italy. The offer values Mediobanca at a 5.03% premium over its closing price on the previous day, with MPS offering 23 of its shares for every 10 Mediobanca shares. The proposed merger would position the new entity as the third largest banking group in Italy, enhancing competition against Intesa Sanpaolo and UniCredit. MPS, once bailed out by the Italian government, has been exploring a deal for Mediobanca, which has been met with opposition from Mediobanca itself. The move is part of a broader strategy to consolidate the Italian banking sector, with analysts expressing skepticism about the offer's adequacy.
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Takeover withdrawn • 25%
Takeover blocked • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Approved by some, rejected by others • 25%
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Woody Bradford • 25%
A new appointee • 25%
Position vacant • 25%