Market
What will be the outcome of Mps's takeover bid for Mediobanca by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful takeover • 25%
Offer rejected • 25%
Offer modified • 25%
Offer withdrawn • 25%
Official announcements from Mps, Mediobanca, financial news outlets
Story
Mps Launches Public Exchange Offer for Mediobanca at 13.3 Billion Euros, Aiming to Impact Assicurazioni Generali
Jan 24, 2025, 06:19 AM
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (Mps) announced on Friday a takeover bid for Mediobanca, valuing the latter at 13.3 billion euros. The public exchange offer aims for total control of Mediobanca, offering a 5.03% premium over the closing price of Mediobanca's stock on the previous day. This move is seen as a potential game-changer in Italy's banking sector, aiming to create a new national banking champion that would rank third in key segments. The integration of Mps, a traditional commercial bank, with Mediobanca, an investment bank with operations in asset management and consumer credit, is expected to generate significant industrial synergies. The deal would also impact the control of Assicurazioni Generali, where Mediobanca holds a 13% stake.
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Successful takeover • 25%
Takeover modified • 25%
Takeover withdrawn • 25%
Takeover blocked • 25%
Bid Rejected • 25%
Successful Merger • 25%
MPS Withdraws Bid • 25%
Revised Offer Accepted • 25%
Approved and completed • 25%
Withdrawn by Monte Paschi • 25%
Rejected by regulators • 25%
Approved but not completed • 25%
Rejected by all major stakeholders • 25%
Approved by all major stakeholders • 25%
Approved by some, rejected by others • 25%
No decision reached • 25%
Postponed • 34%
Approved • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%