Market
Will the Mps takeover of Mediobanca affect control of Assicurazioni Generali by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Assicurazioni Generali, financial news reports
Story
Mps Launches Public Exchange Offer for Mediobanca at 13.3 Billion Euros, Aiming to Impact Assicurazioni Generali
Jan 24, 2025, 06:19 AM
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (Mps) announced on Friday a takeover bid for Mediobanca, valuing the latter at 13.3 billion euros. The public exchange offer aims for total control of Mediobanca, offering a 5.03% premium over the closing price of Mediobanca's stock on the previous day. This move is seen as a potential game-changer in Italy's banking sector, aiming to create a new national banking champion that would rank third in key segments. The integration of Mps, a traditional commercial bank, with Mediobanca, an investment bank with operations in asset management and consumer credit, is expected to generate significant industrial synergies. The deal would also impact the control of Assicurazioni Generali, where Mediobanca holds a 13% stake.
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Moderate impact • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Successful takeover • 25%
Takeover withdrawn • 25%
Takeover modified • 25%
Takeover blocked • 25%
MPS Withdraws Bid • 25%
Bid Rejected • 25%
Revised Offer Accepted • 25%
Successful Merger • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Approved and completed • 25%
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Withdrawn by Monte Paschi • 25%
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Increase > 10% • 25%
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Decrease ≤ 10% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%