Market
Will Mps successfully complete the takeover of Mediobanca by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Mps or Mediobanca, financial news outlets
Story
Mps Launches Public Exchange Offer for Mediobanca at 13.3 Billion Euros, Aiming to Impact Assicurazioni Generali
Jan 24, 2025, 06:19 AM
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (Mps) announced on Friday a takeover bid for Mediobanca, valuing the latter at 13.3 billion euros. The public exchange offer aims for total control of Mediobanca, offering a 5.03% premium over the closing price of Mediobanca's stock on the previous day. This move is seen as a potential game-changer in Italy's banking sector, aiming to create a new national banking champion that would rank third in key segments. The integration of Mps, a traditional commercial bank, with Mediobanca, an investment bank with operations in asset management and consumer credit, is expected to generate significant industrial synergies. The deal would also impact the control of Assicurazioni Generali, where Mediobanca holds a 13% stake.
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Takeover withdrawn • 25%
Successful takeover • 25%
Takeover modified • 25%
Takeover blocked • 25%
Bid Rejected • 25%
Revised Offer Accepted • 25%
MPS Withdraws Bid • 25%
Successful Merger • 25%
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Withdrawn by Monte Paschi • 25%
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Approved by some, rejected by others • 25%