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Major government to adopt animal origin theory of COVID-19 by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or reports from major governments (e.g., US, China, UK)
Story
New Study Supports COVID-19 Animal Origin Theory in Wuhan Market, Highlights Lineage A and B
Sep 19, 2024, 05:31 PM
A new study published in Cell provides evidence supporting the theory that the COVID-19 pandemic originated from infected animals at a market in Wuhan, China. The paper, authored by Crits-Christoph et al., offers genetic tracing of market wildlife and viruses, suggesting that humans first contracted the virus from animals in late 2019. The study refutes earlier claims by the same authors, including Proximal Origin authors, in a 2022 Science paper, arguing that the pandemic most likely started with Lineage A, although early market cases were identified as Lineage B. The analysis includes raccoon dog DNA found at the Huanan market, contributing to the understanding of the virus's origins. The paper was co-authored by Kristian Anderson.
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Similar markets
Wuhan Market Animal Origin • 25%
Laboratory Leak • 25%
Other Natural Origin • 25%
Still Undetermined • 25%
Natural spillover from animals at Huanan Market • 25%
Laboratory leak • 25%
Other natural origin • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Raccoon dogs • 25%
Bats • 25%
Pangolins • 25%
Other • 25%
Raccoon Dog • 25%
Bat • 25%
Pangolin • 25%
Other/None • 25%
Wuhan Market Animals • 25%
Laboratory Origin • 25%
Other Natural Source • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Wuhan market animals • 25%
Lab leak • 25%
Zoonotic spillover from another source • 25%
Other • 25%
Supports Wuhan Market Theory • 25%
Supports Laboratory Leak Theory • 25%
Supports Other Animal Market Theory • 25%
Remains Uncertain • 25%
Natural spillover confirmed • 25%
Lab origin confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Raccoon dogs • 25%
Bats • 25%
Pangolins • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Supports natural spillover • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Inconclusive or mixed results • 25%
No significant new studies • 25%
Yes, WHO • 25%
Yes, CDC • 25%
Yes, other • 25%
No • 25%