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Market
What will be identified as the primary source of COVID-19 origin by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Wuhan Market Animals • 25%
Laboratory Origin • 25%
Other Natural Source • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Consensus statements from major scientific bodies like WHO, CDC, and leading scientific journals
Story
New Study Links COVID-19 Origin to Wuhan Market Animals with 800 Surface Samples
Sep 19, 2024, 06:52 PM
A new study published in 'Cell' on Thursday has provided substantial evidence supporting the theory that COVID-19 originated from infected animals at a Chinese market in late 2019. The study, which involved genetic analysis of 800 surface samples from Wuhan's Huanan Seafood Market, suggests that the pandemic likely began with Lineage A of the virus, although early market cases were all Lineage B. Genetic evidence indicates a natural spillover from animals sold in the market, with raccoon dog DNA found among the samples. This new analysis directly refutes the authors' previous claims made in 2022 and aims to clarify the origins of the pandemic by linking the virus to the wildlife trade at the market.
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Similar markets
Wuhan Market • 25%
Laboratory Leak • 25%
Other Animal Market • 25%
Other • 25%
Raccoon dogs • 25%
Bats • 25%
Pangolins • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural spillover confirmed • 25%
Lab origin confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural spillover from animals at Huanan Market • 25%
Laboratory leak • 25%
Other natural origin • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Wuhan Market Animal Origin • 25%
Laboratory Leak • 25%
Other Natural Origin • 25%
Still Undetermined • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Supports natural spillover • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Inconclusive or mixed results • 25%
No significant new studies • 25%
Raccoon dogs • 25%
Bats • 25%
Pangolins • 25%
Other • 25%
Raccoon Dog • 25%
Bat • 25%
Pangolin • 25%
Other/None • 25%
Supports animal origin theory • 25%
Supports lab leak theory • 25%
Supports new theory • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
U.S. lab origin confirmed • 25%
Chinese lab origin confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
Origin remains inconclusive • 25%