Loading...
Market
Levels of conflict escalation between China and Taiwan by 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant change • 33%
Increased tensions without military action • 33%
Limited military skirmishes • 34%
Global conflict tracking databases and international news reports
Story
China Prepares Ferries for Potential Taiwan Invasion: The Telegraph
May 26, 2024, 04:40 PM
China is reportedly preparing an armada of ferries and civilian vessels for a potential invasion of Taiwan. This move is seen as part of Beijing's escalating pressure campaign against the island nation. Due to a lack of sufficient amphibious landing craft, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) plans to use civilian ships to transport troops and armored vehicles across the Taiwan Strait. Security experts have noted that roll-on roll-off passenger vessels are being earmarked for this purpose. The report comes via The Telegraph.
View original story
Similar markets
US intervenes militarily • 33%
China takes military action • 33%
No significant military action • 34%
Significant escalation leading to broader conflict • 25%
Moderate escalation without broad conflict • 25%
Minimal impact with tensions easing • 25%
No change in current tensions • 25%
No conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
Full-scale conflict • 34%
Increase in military tension • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
De-escalation of military activities • 33%
No escalation • 33%
Minor skirmishes • 33%
Significant military conflict • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military intervention • 34%
Relations improve significantly • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate • 34%
Economic sanctions against China • 33%
Increased military support for Taiwan • 33%
No significant action taken • 34%
Significant escalation • 25%
Minor escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Increase in diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Continuation of military pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions against Taiwan • 25%
No change in strategy • 25%
