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How will the judge's decision affect Trump's political career by January 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved Political Standing • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Declined Political Standing • 25%
Unclear Impact • 25%
Major news outlets and political analysis reports
Story
Judge to Decide on Overturning Trump's Hush Money Conviction Amid Supreme Court Ruling
Nov 10, 2024, 12:25 PM
A New York judge is set to decide this week whether President-elect Donald Trump's criminal conviction on charges involving hush money payments to Stormy Daniels should be overturned. The decision comes in light of the Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity. Trump's conviction stems from accusations made in May that he concealed hush money payments to Daniels to keep quiet about their relationship.
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No impact • 25%
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Career-ending • 25%
No significant impact • 33%
Trump withdraws from presidential race • 33%
Trump's campaign gains momentum • 34%
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New Trial • 25%
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Ends political career • 25%
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No significant impact • 25%
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Trial proceeds as scheduled • 25%
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Case dismissed • 25%
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Only January 6 case dropped • 25%
Only classified documents case dropped • 25%
Neither case dropped • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
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Case settled • 25%
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No significant change • 25%