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Outcome of ongoing criminal cases against Trump by end of 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
All cases dropped • 25%
Some cases dropped • 25%
No cases dropped • 25%
Other • 25%
Official court records and announcements
Story
Supreme Court Grants Presidential Immunity in 6-3 Decision, Impacting Trump Cases
Jul 8, 2024, 04:26 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has issued a landmark ruling granting broad immunity to presidents from criminal prosecution for official acts, with a 6-3 majority. The decision, written by Chief Justice John Roberts, has significant implications for former President Donald Trump, whose recent conviction in a New York hush money case is now in jeopardy. Legal experts are divided on the ruling, with some praising it as a necessary protection of executive powers, while others criticize it as a dangerous precedent that could shield abuses of power. Justice Clarence Thomas, in his concurrence, highlighted the historical basis for presidential immunity, referencing Justice Scalia’s dissent. Dissenting voices argue that the decision undermines the rule of law. The ruling also raises questions about the future of ongoing criminal cases against Trump, including those led by Special Counsel Jack Smith, whose appointment has been called into question.
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No significant legal consequences • 33%
Indictment or trial commences • 33%
Conviction or plea deal • 33%
Imprisoned • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Ongoing trial • 25%
Convicted in both cases • 25%
Convicted in one case • 25%
Not convicted in any case • 25%
Cases unresolved • 25%
Cases Dropped • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
All cases dismissed • 25%
Some cases dismissed • 25%
No cases dismissed • 25%
Conviction in any case • 25%
Trump acquitted of all charges • 25%
Trump convicted of at least one charge • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
Ongoing by end of 2025 • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Acquitted in all cases • 25%
Convicted in at least one case • 25%
Cases ongoing • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
All Cases Dismissed • 25%
Some Cases Dismissed • 25%
No Cases Dismissed • 25%
New Trials Ordered • 25%
All cases dismissed • 25%
Some cases dismissed • 25%
No cases dismissed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
All dismissed • 25%
Some proceed to trial • 25%
All settled out of court • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Charges upheld • 33%
Charges dismissed • 33%
Charges modified • 33%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Both cases dropped • 25%
Only January 6 case dropped • 25%
Only classified documents case dropped • 25%
Neither case dropped • 25%
Conviction • 33%
Acquittal • 33%
Mistrial • 33%