Loading...
Market
How will U.S. sanctions on Iran affect global oil prices by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase above $100/barrel • 25%
Remain between $80-$100/barrel • 25%
Decrease below $80/barrel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Oil price data from sources like Bloomberg or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Story
Trump to Reimpose 'Maximum Pressure' Sanctions on Iran, Cutting Supply by 1 Million Barrels per Day
Nov 8, 2024, 07:50 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his 'maximum pressure policy' of sanctions on Iranian oil, potentially cutting supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to Energy Aspects. This aggressive strategy aims to undercut Tehran’s support of violent proxies and its nuclear program. Relations with Tehran, which sought to assassinate the president-elect and other former American officials, are likely to worsen. Trump's victory in the US election signals the potential for stricter sanctions enforcement next year, especially as Iran's oil exports sharply declined in October amid Israeli threats to its oil facilities, reports WSJ.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant increase (>20%) • 25%
Moderate increase (10-20%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by over 10% • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant increase (>10%) • 25%
Moderate increase (1-10%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase significantly (above $80 per barrel) • 25%
Increase moderately ($70-$80 per barrel) • 25%
Remain stable ($65-$70 per barrel) • 25%
Decrease (below $65 per barrel) • 25%
Severe recession • 25%
Mild recession • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Significant increase (>20%) • 25%
Moderate increase (10-20%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Severe economic downturn • 25%
Moderate economic downturn • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Economic improvement • 25%
Significant Reduction • 25%
Moderate Reduction • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Increase in exports to China • 25%
Increase in exports to Russia • 25%
Diversification to new partners • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Oil prices increase significantly • 25%
Oil prices decrease significantly • 25%
Oil prices remain stable • 25%
Oil prices fluctuate but stabilize • 25%
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Increase by 5-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%