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How will major countries respond to U.S. sanctions on Iran by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased imports from Iran • 25%
Decreased imports from Iran • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Sanctions against U.S. • 25%
Official statements or actions from major oil-importing countries
Story
Trump to Reimpose 'Maximum Pressure' Sanctions on Iran, Cutting Supply by 1 Million Barrels per Day
Nov 8, 2024, 07:50 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his 'maximum pressure policy' of sanctions on Iranian oil, potentially cutting supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to Energy Aspects. This aggressive strategy aims to undercut Tehran’s support of violent proxies and its nuclear program. Relations with Tehran, which sought to assassinate the president-elect and other former American officials, are likely to worsen. Trump's victory in the US election signals the potential for stricter sanctions enforcement next year, especially as Iran's oil exports sharply declined in October amid Israeli threats to its oil facilities, reports WSJ.
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Support from EU • 25%
Opposition from EU • 25%
Support from UN • 25%
Opposition from UN • 25%
Support US sanctions • 25%
Oppose US sanctions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN sanctions Iran • 25%
EU supports US sanctions • 25%
EU opposes US sanctions • 25%
Support the sanctions • 25%
Condemn the sanctions • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official response • 25%
Increase in nuclear activities • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Agree to negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
Ignore the sanctions • 25%
Condemn the sanctions without action • 25%
Increase nuclear activities • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Strengthen regional proxies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
US only • 33%
EU only • 33%
Both US and EU • 33%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Tightening of sanctions • 25%
Loosening of sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete removal of sanctions • 25%
Iran's economy significantly weakens • 25%
Iran agrees to new negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%