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Market
Will Iran's oil exports decline further by June 2025 due to U.S. sanctions?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Oil export data from organizations like the International Energy Agency (IEA) or OPEC
Story
Trump to Reimpose 'Maximum Pressure' Sanctions on Iran, Cutting Supply by 1 Million Barrels per Day
Nov 8, 2024, 07:50 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his 'maximum pressure policy' of sanctions on Iranian oil, potentially cutting supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to Energy Aspects. This aggressive strategy aims to undercut Tehran’s support of violent proxies and its nuclear program. Relations with Tehran, which sought to assassinate the president-elect and other former American officials, are likely to worsen. Trump's victory in the US election signals the potential for stricter sanctions enforcement next year, especially as Iran's oil exports sharply declined in October amid Israeli threats to its oil facilities, reports WSJ.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in exports to China • 25%
Increase in exports to Russia • 25%
Diversification to new partners • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant Reduction • 25%
Moderate Reduction • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increase • 25%
