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How will US-Azerbaijan relations be impacted by the end of 2024 following the Cuellar indictment?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations deteriorate • 33%
Relations remain stable • 33%
Relations improve • 34%
Official statements or policy changes from the US State Department
Story
Rep. Cuellar Indicted for Laundering Over $200K in Bribes from Mexican Bank
May 9, 2024, 10:37 PM
Representative Henry Cuellar has been indicted on charges of bribery, with allegations linking his actions to Azerbaijan's influence in Washington through 'caviar diplomacy'. The scandal involves over $200,000 in bribes, purportedly laundered with the assistance of two political strategists, Colin Strother and Florencio Rendon, who have agreed to plead guilty and cooperate with the investigation. These funds were allegedly siphoned from a Mexican bank, highlighting concerns about foreign interference in U.S. politics and the vulnerabilities of U.S. foreign policy.
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Worsened relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 33%
Improved relations • 34%
Relations worsen • 33%
Relations remain unchanged • 33%
Relations improve • 34%
Improved relations • 33%
Worsened relations • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase in sanctions • 25%
Increase in diplomacy • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Decrease in sanctions • 25%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Severed • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severely deteriorated relations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Stabilization of relations • 33%
Breakthrough agreement • 34%
Relations worsen significantly • 33%
Relations remain the same • 34%
Relations improve • 33%
Relations Strengthened • 33%
Relations Weakened • 33%
No Significant Change • 34%
Improved if Trump wins • 25%
Unchanged if Trump wins • 25%
Worsened if Trump wins • 25%
No impact of US election on relations • 25%
Fully restored • 25%
Partially restored • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Further deteriorated • 25%