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How will US-China relations evolve by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severely deteriorated relations • 25%
Analysis from international relations experts and major global news outlets
Story
China's MOFA Sanctions Former U.S. Lawmaker Mike Gallagher on May 21
May 21, 2024, 11:02 AM
On May 21, China imposed sanctions on former U.S. lawmaker Mike Gallagher, a former Representative of Wisconsin, in response to his actions deemed as interference in China's internal affairs. The Chinese Foreign Ministry (MOFA) announced on Tuesday that the measures include freezing Gallagher's movable and immovable properties in China, denying him visas and entry into the country, and prohibiting organizations and individuals in China from trading and cooperating with him. The sanctions were a response to Gallagher's anti-China behavior.
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Increase in sanctions • 25%
Increase in diplomacy • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Decrease in sanctions • 25%
Improved relations • 33%
Worsened relations • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Deterioration • 33%
Improvement • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Improvement • 33%
No change • 33%
Deterioration • 33%
Improvement in relations • 33%
Deterioration in relations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Deterioration with the US • 25%
Deterioration with the EU • 25%
Strengthening with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved Relations • 33%
Unchanged Relations • 34%
Worsened Relations • 33%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Relations slightly deteriorate • 25%
Relations significantly deteriorate • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Improved relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 34%
Worsened relations • 33%
Relations improve significantly • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate • 34%
Significant deterioration • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Improvement through negotiations • 34%