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Market
What will be the impact on Donald Trump's political career following the hush money trial by end of 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significantly damaged • 33%
Moderately affected • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Political analysis and election results
Story
Cohen Testifies on $130K Payment to Stormy Daniels in Trump Hush Money Trial
May 13, 2024, 02:10 PM
In a high-profile legal case, prosecutors allege that former President Donald Trump and his lawyer, Michael Cohen, paid $130,000 to suppress a story from porn star Stormy Daniels about an alleged 2006 sexual encounter. The payment was reportedly followed by illegal steps to conceal it. Michael Cohen, serving as a key witness in the trial, testified that he had direct communication with Trump, contradicting attempts to frame him merely as Trump's personal assistant. Cohen also highlighted Trump's avoidance of email, citing it as a precaution against legal vulnerabilities, and mentioned his role in renegotiating bills for Trump. The trial has garnered significant media attention, with Cohen's daily and frequent interactions with Trump being a focal point. Cohen's convictions, mostly in service of Trump, underscore his central role in the allegations.
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Similar markets
Significantly damaged • 33%
Somewhat damaged • 33%
No impact • 34%
Significantly damaged • 25%
Moderately affected • 25%
Minor or no impact • 25%
Enhanced • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Positive Impact • 33%
No Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 34%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Significantly Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Significantly Negative • 25%
No Impact • 25%
Trump drops out of 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump continues 2024 presidential race • 33%
Trump switches to independent run • 34%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Positively impacts • 50%
Negatively impacts • 50%
Significantly harmed • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosted his public support • 33%
Significantly harms political future • 33%
No significant impact on political future • 33%
Boosts political support • 34%