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How will the international community react to US actions by February 28, 2025 if hostages are not released?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support US actions • 25%
Condemn US actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Statements from international organizations and foreign governments reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Severe Consequences if Gaza Hostages Not Released by Inauguration
Dec 2, 2024, 06:58 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning regarding the Gaza hostage situation, indicating that if the hostages are not freed before he takes office on January 20th, the repercussions in the Middle East will be severe. Trump's statement, shared across multiple platforms, emphasizes the urgency of the situation, stating that there will be 'all hell to pay in the Middle East' if the hostages are not released. The warning is directed at Hamas, with Trump suggesting that failure to comply would result in significant consequences for the region and those responsible for the hostage-taking. He further warned that if the hostages are not returned by January 20th, every living Hamas member would be returned in body bags.
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Similar markets
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation and diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for Diplomacy • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Other • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
European Union mediation • 25%
United Nations intervention • 25%
Arab League involvement • 25%
No international involvement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
International peacekeeping force deployed • 25%
UN sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation • 25%