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Which international entities will be involved in resolving the hostage situation by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations intervention • 25%
European Union mediation • 25%
Arab League involvement • 25%
No international involvement • 25%
Official announcements from international entities or credible news reports
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Release 100 Hostages, Including 7 Americans, by January 20 or Face Consequences
Dec 27, 2024, 04:49 PM
As the January 20, 2025 deadline approaches, President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas regarding the release of hostages, including seven American citizens, still being held. Trump emphasized that if the hostages are not released by this date, 'all hell is going to break out.' This warning aligns with advice from incoming U.S. National Security Adviser Michael Waltz, who urged Hamas to release the hostages immediately. The situation is critical, with reports indicating that 100 hostages remain captive. The dynamics surrounding the hostages and potential ceasefire negotiations are complicated, as Israel may believe a deal could be more feasible once Trump assumes office. The urgency of the situation is underscored by the collaborative efforts of Trump and President Biden's advisors to secure a resolution before the impending deadline.
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Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other entity • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Government • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
UN sanctions imposed on Hamas • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
International peacekeeping force deployed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
Hostages partially released • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%