Loading...
Market
How will the U.S. government respond to the hostage situation by January 20, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Military action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news reports
Story
Trump Warns Hamas: Release 100 Hostages, Including 7 Americans, by January 20 or Face Consequences
Dec 27, 2024, 04:49 PM
As the January 20, 2025 deadline approaches, President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas regarding the release of hostages, including seven American citizens, still being held. Trump emphasized that if the hostages are not released by this date, 'all hell is going to break out.' This warning aligns with advice from incoming U.S. National Security Adviser Michael Waltz, who urged Hamas to release the hostages immediately. The situation is critical, with reports indicating that 100 hostages remain captive. The dynamics surrounding the hostages and potential ceasefire negotiations are complicated, as Israel may believe a deal could be more feasible once Trump assumes office. The urgency of the situation is underscored by the collaborative efforts of Trump and President Biden's advisors to secure a resolution before the impending deadline.
View original story
Similar markets
No action • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Military action • 25%
US-led coalition response • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant policy shift • 25%
Sanctions or economic measures • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Support US actions • 25%
Condemn US actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No action • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military action in Gaza • 25%
Hostages partially released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostages not released • 25%
Hostages released • 25%