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What changes will occur in North Korean military strategy by May 31, 2025?
2
North Korean•Russia•Ukrainian•Kursk•South Korean•South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•Kim Jong Un
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased training • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Reports from military analysts and South Korean intelligence
Story
100 North Korean Soldiers Killed, 1,000 Injured in Kursk Region: South Korea
Dec 19, 2024, 10:05 AM
At least 100 North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia have been killed, with another 1,000 injured in combat against Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region, according to South Korean lawmaker Lee Seong-kweun. The casualties were reported following a closed-door briefing by South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS). The high number of casualties is attributed to the North Korean troops' lack of experience in drone warfare and unfamiliarity with the open terrain where they are engaged in battle. Despite these losses, there are indications that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is preparing to train a new special operations force for potential deployment to Russia.
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Increased collaboration with Russia • 25%
Focus on internal security • 25%
Expansion of SOF activities • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formation of new military alliances • 25%
Increased defense budgets in the region • 25%
Deployment of new defense systems • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased readiness • 25%
Decreased readiness • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other change • 25%
Another ICBM test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Conventional military exercise • 25%
No major military action • 25%
Emphasize drone warfare • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Increase nuclear capabilities • 25%
Other strategic focuses • 25%
Missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Military parade • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
No major development • 25%
Increased restrictions • 25%
Policy relaxation • 25%
No change • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Increase in troop deployment • 25%
Decrease in troop deployment • 25%
Shift to non-combat roles • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Change in Russian military strategy • 25%
Change in North Korean leadership • 25%
No changes reported • 25%
Joint Russian-North Korean military strategy • 25%