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What will be the outcome of US re-imposing sanctions on Iran by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Iran's economy significantly weakens • 25%
Iran agrees to new negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international agencies, US government announcements, and credible news outlets
Story
Trump Team Aims to 'Bankrupt Iran' with New Sanctions Targeting Oil Exports
Nov 16, 2024, 02:32 PM
According to a report by the Financial Times, Donald Trump's incoming administration plans to reinstate its 'maximum pressure' policy on Iran, aiming to bankrupt Tehran's ability to fund regional proxies and develop nuclear weapons. Trump's foreign policy team is preparing executive orders, to be signed on his first day in office, which will tighten sanctions on Iran, including vital oil exports. The strategy seeks to reduce Iran's oil exports, currently around 1.5 million barrels per day, and force Tehran to negotiate a new nuclear deal and change its regional policies.
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Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions remain unchanged • 25%
Sanctions partially lifted • 25%
Sanctions fully lifted • 25%
Severe recession • 25%
Mild recession • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Regime change • 25%
Increased protests • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened regime • 25%
Tightening of sanctions • 25%
Loosening of sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete removal of sanctions • 25%
Significant economic decline • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Minimal economic impact • 25%
Economic growth • 25%
Agree to negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
Ignore the sanctions • 25%
Condemn the sanctions without action • 25%
Severe economic downturn • 25%
Moderate economic downturn • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Economic improvement • 25%
