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How will international partners respond to the F-35 crashes by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No change in their F-35 orders • 25%
Reduction in F-35 orders • 25%
Temporary suspension of F-35 orders • 25%
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Official statements or policy changes from international partners
Story
F-35 Fighter Jet Crashes During Takeoff at Albuquerque International, Huge Explosion, Pilot Ejects Safely
May 28, 2024, 09:24 PM
An American F-35 fighter jet crashed during takeoff at Albuquerque International Sunport in New Mexico, causing a huge explosion. The incident occurred on the south side of the airport, near Kirtland Air Force Base. The pilot, who was the only person on board, successfully ejected and was conscious when transported to a hospital with serious injuries. Emergency crews responded promptly to the scene. The cause of the crash is currently under investigation, marking the second such incident involving an F-35 in less than a year.
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Stock price drops more than 10% • 25%
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UN condemnation • 33%
Support from EU or NATO • 33%
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UN Security Council discussion • 25%
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Bilateral talks between Japan and China • 25%
UN condemnation • 33%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 33%
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Increased Sanctions on Russia • 34%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 33%
Diplomatic Talks • 33%
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Calls for investigation • 25%
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Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
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Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
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No significant response • 34%