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Market
How will Greenland's strategic alliances change by end of 2025 due to U.S. interest?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Aligns more with U.S. • 25%
Aligns more with Denmark • 25%
Seeks greater autonomy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements or policy shifts by Greenland's government
Story
Denmark Proposes Increased U.S. Military Presence in Greenland After Private Messages to Trump Team
Jan 11, 2025, 01:14 PM
Denmark has sent private messages to the team of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, expressing readiness to discuss enhancing security in Greenland or increasing the U.S. military presence on the island, according to Axios, citing two sources with knowledge of the issue. This move comes in response to Trump's recent statements emphasizing the strategic importance of Greenland to U.S. national security and hinting at possible military or economic actions, including imposing tariffs on Denmark, to control the island. The Danish government has acknowledged its past neglect of Greenland's defense, and the international community is closely watching Greenland's strategic position.
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Strengthens ties with Denmark • 25%
Seeks new alliances • 25%
Seeks UN support • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Independent stance • 25%
Other alliances • 25%
Alliance with Denmark • 25%
Alliance with U.S. • 25%
Greenland reaffirms sovereignty • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland becomes part of the U.S. • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Economic agreements without territorial change • 25%
Firm rejection • 25%
Encourages Greenlandic decision • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Open to negotiations • 25%
No Action • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
Support U.S. interests • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Oppose U.S. interests • 25%
No official response • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
US acquires Greenland • 25%
Denmark retains control without negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decreased presence • 25%
No change • 25%
New strategic agreements • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Increased interest in acquisition • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Increased cooperation with Denmark • 25%
Decreased interest • 25%