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How many fatalities will be reported due to the Dongting Lake embankment collapse by the end of July 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
Official reports from Chinese authorities or reputable news sources
Story
10-Meter Dongting Lake Embankment Collapse Triggers Severe Flooding in Central China's Hunan Province
Jul 8, 2024, 05:47 AM
In China's Hunan Province, the Dongting Lake embankment in Yueyang City, Huarong County, collapsed, causing significant flooding. The breach, which occurred on the first line of the embankment, measured 10 meters in width. The collapse has imperiled the second defense line, prompting urgent measures by authorities. The incident has led to multiple piping issues, and authorities plan to close the gap by noon on Tuesday. In response to the crisis, the Chinese Communist Party has banned individuals from releasing messages to the outside world. This event is part of the broader climate crisis affecting central China.
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Minimal (less than $10 million) • 25%
Moderate ($10 million - $50 million) • 25%
Severe ($50 million - $100 million) • 25%
Catastrophic (more than $100 million) • 25%
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30 to 39 • 25%
40 or more • 25%
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