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How many additional drone incidents over Bavarian military sites will occur in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5 incidents • 25%
6-10 incidents • 25%
11-15 incidents • 25%
More than 15 incidents • 25%
Reports from Bavarian State Criminal Police Office or Munich Public Prosecutor's Office
Story
Germany Probes 10 Drone Sightings Over Military Sites in Bavaria Amid Espionage Concerns
Jan 13, 2025, 01:02 PM
German authorities are investigating the sighting of up to 10 drones over military facilities in Bavaria, specifically over the Eurofighter production site in Manching and another military installation in Neuburg an der Donau. The incidents, which occurred on January 12, are part of a series of similar events reported in December at the same locations. The Bavarian State Criminal Police Office (LKA) and the Munich Public Prosecutor's Office are leading the investigation, suspecting possible espionage linked to Russia's war in Ukraine. Despite intensive searches, including the use of police helicopters, the operators of the drones have not been identified. The authorities have appealed for witnesses to come forward with any information that could help identify the individuals responsible for these unauthorized drone flights.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
0 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
0-5 drones • 25%
More than 20 drones • 25%
11-20 drones • 25%
6-10 drones • 25%
More than 15 incidents • 25%
0-5 incidents • 25%
6-10 incidents • 25%
11-15 incidents • 25%
Other foreign espionage confirmed • 25%
Non-espionage related explanation • 25%
Russian espionage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
Recreational • 25%
Espionage • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Commercial • 25%
Increased military security • 25%
Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
None identified • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%