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Will drone sightings over critical infrastructure in Germany increase by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from German security agencies or Ministry of Defense
Story
Germany's Cabinet Set to Approve Military Authorization to Shoot Down Drones Over Critical Infrastructure and Military Bases
Jan 14, 2025, 04:08 PM
Germany's cabinet is preparing to approve a draft amendment that would authorize the armed forces to shoot down unidentified drones suspected of spying on military bases, industrial facilities, and other critical infrastructure. This decision comes in response to an increase in drone sightings over sensitive sites, prompting the government to amend the air security law. The proposed measures aim to enhance national security by allowing military intervention against illegal drone activities within the country.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian origin confirmed • 25%
Origin confirmed but not Russian • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
Origin remains unidentified • 25%
0-5 incidents • 25%
11-15 incidents • 25%
6-10 incidents • 25%
More than 15 incidents • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Recreational • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Commercial • 25%
Espionage • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military security • 25%
More than 20 drones • 25%
11-20 drones • 25%
6-10 drones • 25%
0-5 drones • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Increase significantly • 25%
Decrease significantly • 25%
Cease completely • 25%