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Greenland's Political Status Change by 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Moves toward independence • 25%
Greater autonomy • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other political change • 25%
Official announcements from the Greenlandic government or international news agencies
Story
Denmark Proposes Enhanced Security, U.S. Military Presence in Greenland Amid Trump's Control Aspirations
Jan 11, 2025, 01:49 PM
Denmark has sent private messages to the team of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, expressing readiness to discuss enhancing security in Greenland or increasing the U.S. military presence on the island. The messages, reported by Axios, come in response to Trump's stated interest in securing control of Greenland, which he has described as an 'absolute necessity' for U.S. national security. Denmark aims to address Trump's security concerns without ceding control of the semi-autonomous territory. The Danish government has made it clear that Greenland is not for sale but is open to discussing other U.S. requests regarding the island. This move follows Trump's refusal to rule out military or economic measures, including tariffs against Denmark, to gain control of Greenland. Trump is set to take office on January 20, amid Greenland's ongoing aspirations for independence.
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Becomes independent • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Other • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Becomes a U.S. territory • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
US acquisition agreement • 25%
Independence declared • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
New PM from the same party • 25%
New PM from a different party • 25%
Interim government • 25%
Múte B. Egede remains PM • 25%
Seek independence from Denmark • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with Denmark • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Reduced autonomy • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Unclear changes • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%