Loading...
Market
Gaza Ceasefire Status by End of 2025
2
Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps•IRGC•Esmail Qaani•Gaza•Israel•Lebanese•Qaani•Resistance Axis•Palestinian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Israeli and Palestinian authorities or major news agencies
Story
IRGC Commander at 1:00 PM Declares Gaza Ceasefire Israel's Greatest Failure After 15 Months of Conflict
Jan 19, 2025, 08:57 AM
The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Quds Force Commander, Esmail Qaani, announced at 1:00 PM that a ceasefire agreement in Gaza represents the greatest failure for Israel. The announcement, made during a ceremony honoring medical staff who treated Lebanese victims of an explosion, highlighted that the ceasefire was imposed on Israel after 15 months of conflict. Qaani described the event as one of the most significant days in history, emphasizing the resilience of the Resistance Axis. The ceasefire marks the culmination of negotiations that incorporated all demands previously made by Palestinian representatives.
View original story
Similar markets
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Renewed negotiations • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire in effect • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with major conflict • 25%
Ceasefire holds with minor violations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major violations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release deal only • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire Talks Suspended • 25%
Partial Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Complete Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Joint control with international oversight • 25%
Control shifts to Palestinian Authority • 25%
Other outcome • 25%