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Follow-up attacks in Russia within a year from Crocus City Hall attack
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Russia•Federal Security Service•FSB•Ukrainian•Crocus City Hall•Moscow•Islamic State Khorasan•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
No further attacks • 33%
One further attack • 33%
Multiple attacks • 34%
Major global news organizations
Story
FSB Claims Ukraine Involved in Deadly Crocus City Hall Attack
May 24, 2024, 06:03 AM
The head of Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) has claimed that Ukrainian military intelligence was directly involved in a deadly attack on Crocus City Hall near Moscow. The attack, which occurred in March, resulted in over 140 deaths. The FSB chief stated that the Islamic State Khorasan had a role in coordinating the attackers' actions. This assertion has been made repeatedly by Russian officials, though they have not provided evidence to substantiate the claims.
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Deterioration in Russia-Ukraine relations • 25%
Improvement in Russia-Ukraine relations • 25%
No significant change in relations • 25%
Increased global isolation of Russia • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions against ISIS • 25%
Sanctions against both • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Ukrainian military intelligence • 25%
Western military intelligence • 25%
International terrorist organization • 25%
Unknown/Unconfirmed • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Primarily Ukraine • 33%
Primarily ISIS • 33%
Joint Ukraine-ISIS operation • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased cooperative security measures • 20%
Issuance of travel advisories • 20%
No significant change • 20%
Condemnation but no action • 20%
Enhanced intelligence sharing • 20%
Military retaliation • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Significant tightening • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No significant changes • 34%