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Changes in Russian security policies post-Moscow attack by end of 2024
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Russia•Islamic State•Moscow•Russian•Federal Security Service•FSB•Alexander Bortnikov•Ukrainian•Crocus City Hall•ISIS
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant tightening • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No significant changes • 34%
Legislation records or official statements from Russian government
Story
Russia Admits ISIS Behind Deadly March 22nd Moscow Concert Attack with 140 Fatalities
May 24, 2024, 08:03 AM
Russia has stated for the first time that the Islamic State coordinated the deadly concert hall attack in Moscow on March 22nd, 2024, which resulted in over 140 fatalities. Despite this admission, Russian authorities, particularly the Federal Security Service (FSB) led by Alexander Bortnikov, continue to claim that Ukrainian military intelligence was directly involved in the attack. The FSB has detained more than 20 individuals in connection with the incident. The attack on Crocus City Hall has been a subject of ongoing investigation, with conflicting reports about the involvement of Ukrainian intelligence and ISIS's role in coordinating the attack.
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Significant changes • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No changes • 33%
Increase in security measures • 33%
No change in policy • 33%
Softening of stance on information sharing • 34%
Increased security measures • 25%
New legislation on information security • 25%
Public transparency initiative • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increase in military security in the region • 33%
Diplomatic actions against Ukraine • 33%
No significant response • 33%
No change • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
Major overhaul • 33%
Increased reliance on tactical nukes • 33%
Broadened conditions for use • 33%
No significant changes • 33%
No further changes • 25%
Minor changes in personnel • 25%
Major restructuring • 25%
Changes in policy focus • 25%
Increase in security measures • 33%
No change in security measures • 34%
Decrease in security measures • 33%
Major reshuffle • 33%
Minor changes • 33%
No change • 34%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
No change in nuclear strategy • 25%
Shift in focus to conventional weapons • 25%
Strengthened data protection laws • 25%
Increased funding for cybersecurity • 25%
New restrictions on contractors • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%