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Economic analysis of U.S. subsidies to Canada/Mexico by Sep 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed $100B+ to Canada • 25%
Confirmed $300B+ to Mexico • 25%
Amounts less than stated • 25%
No official confirmation • 25%
Reports from economic think tanks or government agencies like the Congressional Budget Office
Story
Trump Suggests Canada and Mexico Become U.S. States, Citing $100B and $300B Subsidies
Dec 8, 2024, 03:24 PM
In a recent interview on NBC's "Meet the Press," President-elect Donald Trump suggested that Canada and Mexico should become the 51st and 52nd states of the United States if they continue to rely on substantial American subsidies. Trump claimed that the U.S. is subsidizing Canada by over $100 billion and Mexico by almost $300 billion annually. He stated, "If we're going to subsidize them, let them become a state," and hinted that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau could become the governor of Canada if it were to join the U.S.
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Decrease • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Eliminated • 25%
Increase • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Tariffs partially implemented • 25%
Tariffs fully implemented • 25%
Tariffs removed after implementation • 25%
Tariffs not implemented • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Improved • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Data unclear or mixed • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
No change in exports • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs averted through negotiation • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs delayed • 25%