Loading...
Market
Direction of Iran's foreign policy by end of 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
More aggressive posture • 33%
Maintain current trajectory • 34%
Shift towards diplomacy and negotiation • 33%
Analysis based on official statements and policy documents
Story
Iranian President and Foreign Minister Die in Helicopter Crash in East Azerbaijan
May 20, 2024, 04:33 AM
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian have died in a helicopter crash. The crash occurred in a mountainous area of East Azerbaijan province under icy weather conditions. All passengers on board, including other officials, were also killed. The wreckage was found after an hours-long search. Raisi was 63 years old. Iranian state media and officials have confirmed the deaths.
View original story
Similar markets
More Aggressive • 33%
Status Quo • 33%
More Diplomatic • 34%
Major shift • 50%
No major shift • 50%
Increase in domestic security measures • 25%
Shift in foreign policy stance • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Restructuring of governmental or military personnel • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 33%
Acceleration of nuclear program • 33%
Deceleration or halting of nuclear program • 34%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Stabilization of relations • 33%
Breakthrough agreement • 34%
Agree to negotiations • 33%
Reject negotiations • 33%
Continue current stance • 33%
Increase in enrichment • 25%
Reduction in enrichment • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete halt of enrichment • 25%
Increase in visits • 33%
Decrease in visits • 33%
No significant change • 34%
New Foreign Minister • 33%
Interim Foreign Minister continues • 33%
Foreign Ministry restructured • 33%
Deterioration • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Improvement • 34%
Significantly improved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Slightly improved • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
