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Market
Global powers' response to Iran's political changes by January 2024
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
US extends diplomacy • 25%
Russia strengthens alliances • 25%
China increases economic ties • 25%
No significant change from any • 25%
Public statements from the governments or state media of the US, Russia, and China
Story
Iranian President and Foreign Minister Die in Helicopter Crash in East Azerbaijan
May 20, 2024, 04:33 AM
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian have died in a helicopter crash. The crash occurred in a mountainous area of East Azerbaijan province under icy weather conditions. All passengers on board, including other officials, were also killed. The wreckage was found after an hours-long search. Raisi was 63 years old. Iranian state media and officials have confirmed the deaths.
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Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiation and diplomacy • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military intervention • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Military intervention • 33%
Increase in domestic security measures • 25%
Shift in foreign policy stance • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Restructuring of governmental or military personnel • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 33%
Strengthening of security protocols • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Deterioration • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Improvement • 34%
Deterioration with the US • 25%
Deterioration with the EU • 25%
Strengthening with Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. involvement • 25%
Russian involvement • 25%
Chinese involvement • 25%
No major power involvement • 25%
US condemnation • 33%
EU diplomatic response • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
More Aggressive • 33%
Status Quo • 33%
More Diplomatic • 34%
Significantly improved • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Slightly improved • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%