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Diplomatic Talks Between China and Taiwan Regarding Tachinman 88 Incident by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Chinese or Taiwanese governments, or major news agencies
Story
China Detains Taiwanese Fishing Boat Tachinman 88, Escalating Tensions
Jul 3, 2024, 12:05 AM
China's Coast Guard has detained a Taiwanese fishing boat, the Tachinman 88, along with its six crew members, near an offshore outpost. The incident occurred Tuesday evening near a Taiwan-controlled island, and the vessel was intercepted by two Chinese vessels before being taken to a port in mainland China. Taiwan has demanded the immediate release of the vessel and its crew, escalating tensions between China and Taiwan, especially under the island’s new president.
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Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
European Union • 25%
No mediation occurs • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful dialogue initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic Cooperation • 25%
Military Tensions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
United States • 25%
Japan • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to de-escalate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%