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Market
Outcome of Tachinman 88 Detention by December 31, 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Released with no conditions • 33%
Released after negotiations • 33%
Not released • 34%
Official announcements from Chinese or Taiwanese authorities, or major news agencies
Story
China Detains Taiwanese Fishing Boat Tachinman 88, Escalating Tensions
Jul 3, 2024, 12:05 AM
China's Coast Guard has detained a Taiwanese fishing boat, the Tachinman 88, along with its six crew members, near an offshore outpost. The incident occurred Tuesday evening near a Taiwan-controlled island, and the vessel was intercepted by two Chinese vessels before being taken to a port in mainland China. Taiwan has demanded the immediate release of the vessel and its crew, escalating tensions between China and Taiwan, especially under the island’s new president.
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Released unconditionally • 25%
Released after negotiations • 25%
Still detained • 25%
Other • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Released with charges dropped • 25%
Convicted and sentenced • 25%
Still detained • 25%
Released • 25%
Transferred to another facility • 25%
Still detained • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Released with charges dropped • 25%
Convicted and sentenced • 25%
Still in detention • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
No further action • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Jail sentence • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
Released without charge • 25%
Released with charge • 25%
Remains detained without charge • 25%
Remains detained with charge • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Pending trial • 25%
Deported • 25%
Designated as hostage situation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
All released without charge • 25%
Some charged, some released • 25%
All charged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Released without conditions • 25%
Released with conditions • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Remains in detention • 25%