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Market
Will China and the U.S. hold high-level diplomatic talks over Taiwan arms sales by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. Department of State or Chinese Foreign Ministry
Story
China Opposes $385 Million U.S. Arms Sales to Taiwan, Violating One-China Principle
Dec 1, 2024, 03:35 AM
China has expressed strong opposition to the recent approval of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan, valued at $385 million. A spokesperson from the Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that this decision contradicts U.S. commitments to not support Taiwan's independence and violates the one-China principle, as well as several key agreements between China and the U.S., particularly the August 17 Communiqué of 1982. The spokesperson emphasized that China has lodged serious protests against the U.S. regarding this matter and called for an immediate cessation of arms sales to Taiwan.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resume nuclear arms talks • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
Increase military presence near Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
