Prediction Markets

    NameOption typeQuality (1-5)TopicsCreated

    Will Morgan Ortagus publicly criticize Trump in 2025?

    Will Morgan Ortagus publicly criticize Trump in 2025?
    Binary
    5
    8 days ago

    Will the U.S. impose new sanctions on Cuba by 2025 under Claver-Carone?

    Will the U.S. impose new sanctions on Cuba by 2025 under Claver-Carone?
    Binary
    5
    20 days ago

    Austin Tice confirmed alive by U.S. officials by end of 2025?

    Austin Tice confirmed alive by U.S. officials by end of 2025?
    Binary
    5
    22 days ago

    Will Xi Jinping attend Trump's inauguration on Jan 20, 2025?

    Will Xi Jinping attend Trump's inauguration on Jan 20, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    30 days ago

    Outcome of Biden's consideration for Hillary Clinton's preemptive pardon by end of 2024?

    Outcome of Biden's consideration for Hillary Clinton's preemptive pardon by end of 2024?
    Categorical
    5
    1 month ago

    Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon for Hillary Clinton by end of 2024?

    Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon for Hillary Clinton by end of 2024?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Will Trump impose new tariffs on China by April 30, 2025?

    Will Trump impose new tariffs on China by April 30, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Will Viktor Orban attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?

    Will Viktor Orban attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Will China confirm Xi Jinping's attendance at Trump's inauguration by January 20, 2025?

    Will China confirm Xi Jinping's attendance at Trump's inauguration by January 20, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    What will be the nature of Xi Jinping's visit if he attends Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?

    What will be the nature of Xi Jinping's visit if he attends Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?
    Categorical
    5
    1 month ago

    House Foreign Affairs Committee to censure Blinken by March 31, 2025?

    House Foreign Affairs Committee to censure Blinken by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Antony Blinken to resign by June 30, 2025?

    Antony Blinken to resign by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    New sanctions on Taliban by Biden administration by April 30, 2025?

    New sanctions on Taliban by Biden administration by April 30, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Antony Blinken resignation or removal by June 30, 2025?

    Antony Blinken resignation or removal by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Will Antony Blinken face a vote of no confidence by March 31, 2025?

    Will Antony Blinken face a vote of no confidence by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Will Ukraine integrate F-16s into combat operations by June 2025?

    Will Ukraine integrate F-16s into combat operations by June 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Jacob Helberg confirmed as Under Secretary of State by March 31, 2025?

    Jacob Helberg confirmed as Under Secretary of State by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Calin Georgescu wins Romanian presidential election in 2024?

    Calin Georgescu wins Romanian presidential election in 2024?
    Binary
    5
    1 month ago

    Nicolás Maduro arrested or convicted by end of 2025?

    Nicolás Maduro arrested or convicted by end of 2025?
    Binary
    4
    23 hours ago

    Will Israel reduce humanitarian aid to Gaza by February 28, 2025?

    Will Israel reduce humanitarian aid to Gaza by February 28, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    7 days ago

    Will the U.S. cut military aid to Israel by June 30, 2025?

    Will the U.S. cut military aid to Israel by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    7 days ago

    Will Hamas agree to a ceasefire by March 31, 2025?

    Will Hamas agree to a ceasefire by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    7 days ago

    Will Congress approve the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by March 31, 2025?

    Will Congress approve the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    8 days ago

    Will Marc Fogel be released from Russian detention by June 30, 2025?

    Will Marc Fogel be released from Russian detention by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    15 days ago

    Will the U.S. secure a prisoner exchange involving Marc Fogel by December 31, 2025?

    Will the U.S. secure a prisoner exchange involving Marc Fogel by December 31, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    15 days ago

    U.S. and HTS to agree on Syria political transition by June 30, 2025?

    U.S. and HTS to agree on Syria political transition by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    22 days ago

    Will the US remove HTS from its terrorist list by end of 2025?

    Will the US remove HTS from its terrorist list by end of 2025?
    Binary
    4
    23 days ago

    Will any foreign head of state attend Trump's inauguration on Jan 20, 2025?

    Will any foreign head of state attend Trump's inauguration on Jan 20, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    30 days ago

    Which foreign leader will attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?

    Which foreign leader will attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?
    Categorical
    4
    1 month ago

    U.S. government to release new Afghanistan withdrawal report by September 30, 2025?

    U.S. government to release new Afghanistan withdrawal report by September 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    Formal censure of State Department over Afghanistan withdrawal by March 31, 2025?

    Formal censure of State Department over Afghanistan withdrawal by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    Will the House Foreign Affairs Committee censure the Biden administration by June 30, 2025?

    Will the House Foreign Affairs Committee censure the Biden administration by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    Christopher Landau confirmed as Deputy Secretary of State by March 31, 2025?

    Christopher Landau confirmed as Deputy Secretary of State by March 31, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    New U.S. sanctions on Cuba announced by June 30, 2025?

    New U.S. sanctions on Cuba announced by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    TikTok complies with EU data retention order by March 2025?

    TikTok complies with EU data retention order by March 2025?
    Binary
    4
    1 month ago

    US imposes additional sanctions on Venezuela by July 1, 2025?

    US imposes additional sanctions on Venezuela by July 1, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 hours ago

    First country to announce new sanctions against Venezuela in 2025?

    First country to announce new sanctions against Venezuela in 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    23 hours ago

    First Venezuelan official arrested or convicted by end of 2025?

    First Venezuelan official arrested or convicted by end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    23 hours ago

    EU announces new sanctions against Venezuelan officials by end of 2025?

    EU announces new sanctions against Venezuelan officials by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 hours ago

    First Venezuelan official to have US reward increased in 2025?

    First Venezuelan official to have US reward increased in 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    23 hours ago

    What will be the outcome of the U.S. arms sale to Israel by December 31, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of the U.S. arms sale to Israel by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    7 days ago

    Will Morgan Ortagus resign or be removed from her position by June 30, 2025?

    Will Morgan Ortagus resign or be removed from her position by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    7 days ago

    How will major media outlets evaluate Morgan Ortagus's effectiveness by the end of 2025?

    How will major media outlets evaluate Morgan Ortagus's effectiveness by the end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    7 days ago

    Will Morgan Ortagus receive a significant foreign policy award or recognition by the end of 2025?

    Will Morgan Ortagus receive a significant foreign policy award or recognition by the end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    7 days ago

    Will Morgan Ortagus secure a significant diplomatic agreement in the Middle East by the end of 2025?

    Will Morgan Ortagus secure a significant diplomatic agreement in the Middle East by the end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    7 days ago

    Will the Abraham Accords expand to include at least one new country by the end of 2025?

    Will the Abraham Accords expand to include at least one new country by the end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    7 days ago

    Will the first shipment from the $8 billion arms deal be delivered to Israel by December 31, 2025?

    Will the first shipment from the $8 billion arms deal be delivered to Israel by December 31, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    8 days ago

    Will there be public protests in the U.S. against the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by June 30, 2025?

    Will there be public protests in the U.S. against the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    8 days ago

    Will Morgan Ortagus remain Deputy Middle East Envoy by end of 2025?

    Will Morgan Ortagus remain Deputy Middle East Envoy by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    8 days ago

    What level of support will Morgan Ortagus receive from the GOP by end of 2025?

    What level of support will Morgan Ortagus receive from the GOP by end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    8 days ago

    What will be Morgan Ortagus's role by end of 2025?

    What will be Morgan Ortagus's role by end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    8 days ago

    Will a significant Middle East peace agreement be reached by end of 2025?

    Will a significant Middle East peace agreement be reached by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    8 days ago

    Which U.S. agency will be most instrumental in Marc Fogel's release by December 31, 2025?

    Which U.S. agency will be most instrumental in Marc Fogel's release by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    15 days ago

    Will the U.S. impose new sanctions on Russia over Marc Fogel's detention by December 31, 2024?

    Will the U.S. impose new sanctions on Russia over Marc Fogel's detention by December 31, 2024?
    Binary
    3
    15 days ago

    Will Claver-Carone visit Venezuela as Special Envoy by mid-2025?

    Will Claver-Carone visit Venezuela as Special Envoy by mid-2025?
    Binary
    3
    20 days ago

    Will HTS be removed from the U.S. terrorist list by end of 2025?

    Will HTS be removed from the U.S. terrorist list by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    22 days ago

    Will the case of missing journalist Austin Tice be resolved by end of 2025?

    Will the case of missing journalist Austin Tice be resolved by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    22 days ago

    Will the U.S. reach a formal political transition agreement with HTS by mid-2025?

    Will the U.S. reach a formal political transition agreement with HTS by mid-2025?
    Binary
    3
    22 days ago

    Will the US announce a new diplomatic initiative with Syria and HTS by mid-2025?

    Will the US announce a new diplomatic initiative with Syria and HTS by mid-2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 days ago

    Will Barbara Leaf meet with HTS leader in Damascus by January 2025?

    Will Barbara Leaf meet with HTS leader in Damascus by January 2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 days ago

    Will the U.S. remove HTS from its terrorist designation list by end of 2025?

    Will the U.S. remove HTS from its terrorist designation list by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 days ago

    Will Barbara Leaf meet with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani by January 31, 2025?

    Will Barbara Leaf meet with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani by January 31, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    23 days ago

    Additional lawsuits against Global Engagement Center for censorship by end of 2025?

    Additional lawsuits against Global Engagement Center for censorship by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    24 days ago

    Global Engagement Center funding renewed beyond 2025?

    Global Engagement Center funding renewed beyond 2025?
    Binary
    3
    24 days ago

    Switzerland to take legal action against Illumove SA by end of 2025?

    Switzerland to take legal action against Illumove SA by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    24 days ago

    U.S. to impose new sanctions on Iran military programs by June 30, 2025?

    U.S. to impose new sanctions on Iran military programs by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    24 days ago

    Next country to impose sanctions on Iran military by June 30, 2025?

    Next country to impose sanctions on Iran military by June 30, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    24 days ago

    Will Palestinian families win lawsuit against U.S. State Department by end of 2025?

    Will Palestinian families win lawsuit against U.S. State Department by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    Will Biden administration release withheld anti-Israel funding documents by mid-2025?

    Will Biden administration release withheld anti-Israel funding documents by mid-2025?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    Will the U.S. State Department acknowledge Leahy Law compliance on aid to Israel by end of 2024?

    Will the U.S. State Department acknowledge Leahy Law compliance on aid to Israel by end of 2024?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    New U.S.-Brokered Peace Agreement in Northern Syria by February 2025?

    New U.S.-Brokered Peace Agreement in Northern Syria by February 2025?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    Major Conflict in Manbij, Northern Syria, Q1 2025?

    Major Conflict in Manbij, Northern Syria, Q1 2025?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    Ceasefire Extension in Manbij Beyond December 24, 2024?

    Ceasefire Extension in Manbij Beyond December 24, 2024?
    Binary
    3
    25 days ago

    What will be the status of U.S. military presence in Syria by the end of 2024?

    What will be the status of U.S. military presence in Syria by the end of 2024?
    Categorical
    3
    29 days ago

    Will the U.S. complete withdrawal of military operations against ISIS in Iraq by the end of 2024?

    Will the U.S. complete withdrawal of military operations against ISIS in Iraq by the end of 2024?
    Binary
    3
    29 days ago

    Will suspected chemical weapons stocks in Syria be secured by June 30, 2025?

    Will suspected chemical weapons stocks in Syria be secured by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    29 days ago

    Will Syria form an inclusive political transition government by June 30, 2025?

    Will Syria form an inclusive political transition government by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    29 days ago

    What will be the outcome of US visa restrictions on Georgian officials by December 31, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of US visa restrictions on Georgian officials by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    30 days ago

    Will Georgia announce new democratic reforms by June 30, 2025?

    Will Georgia announce new democratic reforms by June 30, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    30 days ago

    Will the US lift visa restrictions on Georgian officials by December 31, 2025?

    Will the US lift visa restrictions on Georgian officials by December 31, 2025?
    Binary
    3
    30 days ago

    What will be the next leadership change in Georgia by December 31, 2025?

    What will be the next leadership change in Georgia by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    30 days ago

    First foreign leader to congratulate Trump in person at inauguration

    First foreign leader to congratulate Trump in person at inauguration
    Categorical
    3
    30 days ago

    Will a formal investigation be launched against Hillary Clinton by end of 2025?

    Will a formal investigation be launched against Hillary Clinton by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    1 month ago

    Which country's head of state will attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?

    Which country's head of state will attend Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    1 month ago

    Outcome of House Committee's investigation into Afghanistan withdrawal by June 30, 2025?

    Outcome of House Committee's investigation into Afghanistan withdrawal by June 30, 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    1 month ago

    Which additional military aircraft will Ukraine receive from Western allies by end of 2025?

    Which additional military aircraft will Ukraine receive from Western allies by end of 2025?
    Categorical
    3
    1 month ago

    Will the $266.4M F-16 support deal be completed by end of 2025?

    Will the $266.4M F-16 support deal be completed by end of 2025?
    Binary
    3
    1 month ago

    How will food insecurity levels in Gaza change by June 30, 2025?

    How will food insecurity levels in Gaza change by June 30, 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    7 days ago

    How many aid trucks will enter Gaza in January 2025?

    How many aid trucks will enter Gaza in January 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    7 days ago

    What type of munitions will be delivered first from the $8 billion arms deal to Israel by December 31, 2025?

    What type of munitions will be delivered first from the $8 billion arms deal to Israel by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    8 days ago

    Which major countries will publicly oppose the U.S.-Israel arms deal by June 30, 2025?

    Which major countries will publicly oppose the U.S.-Israel arms deal by June 30, 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    8 days ago

    What will be the outcome of the Congressional decision on the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by March 31, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of the Congressional decision on the $8 billion arms deal with Israel by March 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    8 days ago

    What will be the U.S. strategy for Middle East peace by mid-2025?

    What will be the U.S. strategy for Middle East peace by mid-2025?
    Categorical
    2
    8 days ago

    What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts for Marc Fogel's release by December 31, 2025?

    What will be the outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts for Marc Fogel's release by December 31, 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    15 days ago

    Which Latin American country will Claver-Carone focus on for partnerships by 2025?

    Which Latin American country will Claver-Carone focus on for partnerships by 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    20 days ago

    What will be Claver-Carone's primary policy focus in Latin America by 2025?

    What will be Claver-Carone's primary policy focus in Latin America by 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    20 days ago

    What will be the outcome of Claver-Carone's efforts to improve U.S.-Latin America relations by 2025?

    What will be the outcome of Claver-Carone's efforts to improve U.S.-Latin America relations by 2025?
    Categorical
    2
    20 days ago

    Will U.S.-Venezuela relations significantly improve by 2025 under Claver-Carone?

    Will U.S.-Venezuela relations significantly improve by 2025 under Claver-Carone?
    Binary
    2
    20 days ago

    Will Claver-Carone secure a new trade agreement with a Latin American country by 2025?

    Will Claver-Carone secure a new trade agreement with a Latin American country by 2025?
    Binary
    2
    20 days ago

    Will Claver-Carone negotiate a new U.S.-Cuba policy agreement by end of 2025?

    Will Claver-Carone negotiate a new U.S.-Cuba policy agreement by end of 2025?
    Binary
    2
    20 days ago

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