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Market
Major Conflict in Manbij, Northern Syria, Q1 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
U.S. State Department Extends Ceasefire Between Turkey and SDF in Manbij, Northern Syria
Dec 17, 2024, 07:06 PM
The ceasefire between Turkey and the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria has been extended until the end of this week, according to the U.S. State Department. State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller announced the extension, which aims to maintain peace around the northern Syrian city of Manbij, where tensions had previously escalated. The U.S. continues to engage with both the SDF and Turkey to seek a path forward, emphasizing the importance of not allowing any party to exploit the current unstable situation for narrow interests at the expense of the broader Syrian national interest.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Internal Rebel Conflicts • 25%
Ethnic or Sectarian Violence • 25%
Economic Strife • 25%
Foreign Military Interventions • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Turkish-backed forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Kurdish forces • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Territorial control • 25%
Ethnic tensions • 25%
Resource access • 25%
Other • 25%
PKK/YPG • 25%
Syrian National Army • 25%
Another rebel group • 25%
Joint control or other • 25%
Syrian National Army • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
YPG/PKK • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkish-backed forces • 25%
PKK/YPG • 25%
