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Will voter turnout in NY-16 primary be higher than in 2018?
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Democratic•New York•16th Congressional District•Jamaal Bowman•George Latimer•Westchester County•Bowman•New Rochelle•Latimer•Westchester•AIPAC•Democratic Party•Democrat Ritchie Torres•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Higher than 2018 primary turnout • 50%
Lower or equal to 2018 primary turnout • 50%
Voter turnout data from New York State Board of Elections
Story
Jamaal Bowman Faces Tough Primary Challenge from George Latimer in NY-16, Latimer Leads 48% to 31%
Jun 16, 2024, 07:50 PM
The Democratic primary for New York's 16th Congressional District has intensified as incumbent Rep. Jamaal Bowman faces a significant challenge from George Latimer, the Westchester County Executive. Early voting began on June 15, with Bowman casting his vote in New Rochelle. Latimer, who has been criticized for his handling of desegregation efforts in Westchester, is supported by right-wing donors, including AIPAC, and pro-Trump funding. The pro-Israel lobby has spent millions, including $14.6 million, to defeat Bowman. The primary has highlighted divisions within the Democratic Party, with Bowman targeting fellow Democrat Ritchie Torres over his support for Israel. Polls show Latimer leading with 48% to Bowman's 31%. The election will take place on June 25.
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Similar markets
Above 40% • 33%
Between 30% and 40% • 33%
Below 30% • 34%
Bowman wins by a large margin • 33%
Latimer wins by a large margin • 33%
Close race • 34%
Bowman wins by 10%+ • 25%
Bowman wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by 10%+ • 25%
Over $30 million • 50%
Under $30 million • 50%
Jamaal Bowman • 33%
George Latimer • 33%
Other • 33%
Significantly influence • 50%
Not significantly influence • 50%
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%