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What will be the margin of victory in the NY-16 Democratic primary?
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Israel•Democratic•New York•16th Congressional District•Jamaal Bowman•House•Bowman•Westchester County•George Latimer•AIPAC•BDS•Bernie Sanders•Bronx•American•Democratic Party•Palestine
Resolution / Starting Odds
Bowman wins by a large margin • 33%
Latimer wins by a large margin • 33%
Close race • 34%
Bowman wins by 10%+ • 25%
Bowman wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by <10% • 25%
Latimer wins by 10%+ • 25%
Official election results published by the New York State Board of Elections
Story
Pro-Israel Groups Spend $14M to Unseat Rep. Jamaal Bowman in NY Primary on June 25
Jun 22, 2024, 04:24 PM
Pro-Israel political groups have significantly influenced the Democratic primary race in New York's 16th Congressional District, targeting incumbent Rep. Jamaal Bowman, a vocal critic of Israel. The race, which has become the most expensive House primary ever, sees Bowman facing Westchester County Executive George Latimer. AIPAC and its affiliates have poured over $14 million into the race to unseat Bowman, accusing him of anti-Israel sentiments and supporting the BDS movement. Bowman's campaign has garnered support from prominent progressives, including Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders, who have rallied in the Bronx to bolster his reelection bid. Despite the heavy spending against him, Bowman remains defiant, criticizing the influence of billionaire super PACs in American politics. The primary, set for June 25, is seen as a bellwether for the broader ideological battle within the Democratic Party, particularly on issues related to Israel and Palestine. Bowman is currently trailing in the polls by over 10%, and the race has been marked by record-shattering outside spending and accusations of antisemitism.
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Similar markets
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 33%
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 34%
Above 40% • 33%
Between 30% and 40% • 33%
Below 30% • 34%
John Avlon by 0-5% • 25%
John Avlon by 5-10% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 0-5% • 25%
Nick LaLota by 5-10% • 25%
Less than 5% • 33%
Between 5% and 10% • 33%
More than 10% • 34%
Jamaal Bowman • 33%
George Latimer • 33%
Other • 33%
Jamaal Bowman endorsed by AOC • 33%
George Latimer endorsed by a major figure • 33%
No significant endorsements • 34%
Jamaal Bowman • 33%
George Latimer • 33%
Other candidate • 34%
