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Will Ukrainian military incursions in Kursk reduce Russian strikes by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from Ukrainian government or international monitoring agencies
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Ukraine Plans Evacuation Corridors, Buffer Zone in Kursk
Aug 18, 2024, 07:54 PM
Ukraine is planning to establish evacuation corridors and humanitarian operations in Russia's Kursk region, according to Ukraine's Minister of Reintegration, Vereshchuk. The corridors will facilitate the evacuation of civilians both towards Russia and Ukraine. Additionally, Ukrainian officials have announced the creation of a 'buffer zone' in the Kursk region, aimed at limiting Russian strikes on Ukrainian territory. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed that the military incursion into the Kursk region is intended to create this buffer zone, marking the first time he has explicitly stated the operation's purpose.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
